Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg celebrates 25 years in the Supreme Court today — and while she has vowed to stay on in the role, people have been left wondering when she might retire, and when other seats on the court might become vacant.
The retirement of one judge in July has given Trump a chance to nominate the conservative Brett Kavanaugh and has left people wondering if he might get the chance to model the court in his image by replacing Ginsburg or another judge.
Business Insider has calculated an average retirement age and tenure length for the last 11 justices to retire, going back to Justice Warren E. Burger, who quit in 1986.
The average age of retirement for the past 11 justices was 80. These justices spent an average of 27 years in the court (according to the Supreme Court website, the all-time average is shorter, at 16 years).
We have averaged the two metrics to reach a ballpark year that the justices could retire based on precedent. It is worth remembering this is a rough prediction and a justice can leave the Supreme Court at any time for any reason.
Scroll down to see where each Supreme Court justice stands — and when the figures suggest their term could end.
Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Predicted departure: Two years ago
Age: 85 (5 years past average retirement)
Tenure: 25 years (2 years less than average)
Friday marks the 25th anniversary of Ginsburg’s confirmation to the US Supreme Court.
Born in 1933, Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is now 85 years old — four years than older Kennedy, and five years past the average retirement age.
She took her seat on the Supreme Court in 1993 after a nomination from Bill Clinton. Her tenure is currently two years shorter than the average.
In July, Ginsburg signaled that she hopes to stay in the Supreme Court for at least another five years.
She also told PBS in January that she would adopt the plan of former Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens, who retired at the age of 90.
She further suggested that would be sticking to these plans and that she would not retire before the end of Trump’s term as president by hiring four full-time law clerks through to 2020 – a move that is not typical for justices who plan on stepping down.
Ginsburg, who has become something of a liberal icon, said in February: “As long as I can do the job full steam, I will be here.”
Stephen Breyer. Predicted departure: 2021
Age: 79 (1 year before average retirement)
Tenure: 24 years (3 years less than average)
At 79, Breyer has not made any suggestion that he will retire soon. He is a year younger than the average retirement age, and his tenure is currently three years shorter than the average.
Breyer has been a Supreme Court Justice since August 1994, following a nomination from President Bill Clinton.
As a liberal justice, Breyer may want to continue in office to prevent …read more
Source:: Businessinsider – Politics