Trump’s Huawei ban could spark a tit-for-tat fight with Beijing that puts Apple in the the middle of the crossfire (AAPL, NVDA, INTC, AMD, QCOM)


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The US ban on Chinese tech giant Huawei could trigger a major retaliation by Beijing.
Analysts say China could hit back at US tech giants doing business in the Asian nation, with Apple especially at risk.
One analyst believes the reaction could be so severe that the effect on some US tech companies could be ‘disastrous.’
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A ban on Chinese tech giant Huawei by the Trump Administration could spark a tit-for-tat with Beijing that would turn the heat up on US tech companies, with Apple vulnerable as high-profile target for retaliation, analysts said Wednesday.

One analyst thinks Beijing’s reaction could be ‘disastrous’ for American companies.

The ban on doing business with Huawei was imposed shortly after President Trump’s executive order aimed at “foreign adversaries” in the technology industry. According to the US Commerce Department order, Huawei is now prohibited from buying parts and components from US companies without US government approval.

Huawei has been repeatedly accused of spying and violating US laws. Huawei has denied the accusations, while Beijing has denounced the charges as unfair.

Spying allegations vs Huawei

“This is clearly targeted at China spying via Huawei, something that has not been conclusively proven yet,” analyst Tim Bajarin of Creative Strategies Inc. told Business Insider. “But it represents a ban on a Chinese product in the US that has other ramifications.”

The spying allegations “could be real,” he added. But so is China’s potential reaction.

“China could retaliate by banning US products from the Chinese market using the same pretense, even it may be false,” he said. “A tit-for-tat fight that could be disastrous for any company that sells a lot of goods into China, especially technology-based goods, if they get banned for any reason as part of a Chinese retaliatory move.”

And coming on the heels of the recent tariffs that the US and China have imposed on hundreds of millions of dollars of each other’s goods, a potential Chinese ban on certain US companies could cause significant problems.

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said the Trump threat could just be all bluster ahead of next month’s G-20 Summit in Japan.

“We think the bark is going to be worst than the bite, but this adds more noise when tech investors are already on edge,” he told Business Insider. “This is a major shot across the bow. … They continue to ratchet up the heat in the kitchen especially with Huawei given the strategic importance of Huawei in China.”

Trade war escalation

China could hit back, he said, which could hurt leading tech names, including chipmakers Nvidia, Qualcomm and Intel.

In a note in December following the US indictment of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou, Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon said Huawei is “overall a sizeable buyer of semiconductors.” But he said the impact on major US chip-makers would be minimal.

Rasgon said the “supply chain could evolve” helping ease the impact of the Huawei ban on US chip companies.

“If the semi companies can’t sell to Huawei and thus Huawei can’t sell equipment, other companies would …read more

Source:: Businessinsider – Politics

      

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