How quickly could BYU be successful in the Big 12? History provides some clues 

BYU Cougars head coach Kalani Sitake and players begin to celebrate a a win over Utah on Sept. 11, 2021. BYU won 26-17.

Brigham Young Cougars head coach Kalani Sitake and the rest of the BYU sideline begin to celebrate as they defeat Utah in an NCAA football game at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo on Saturday, Sept. 11, 2021. BYU won 26-17, ending a nine-game losing streak to the Utes. | Scott G Winterton, Deseret News

Here’s what examining the recent history of three other programs who’ve made the move to a Power Five conference since 2011 tells us

​​On Saturday, BYU football will get its first taste of playing in a Big 12 environment since accepting an invitation to join the Power Five conference in 2023.

The Cougars play at Baylor, and that game will have plenty of implications on how successful BYU’s 2021 season is viewed in the long run.

Two years down the road, though, this will be an atmosphere that the Cougars will be tested in constantly as members of the Big 12.

How long will it take for BYU to be successful in its Big 12 tenure?

Let’s look at how long it took for three programs who made the jump to a Power Five conference in the past decade to find success in their new leagues — Utah from the Mountain West Conference to the Pac-12 in 2011, and TCU and West Virginia from the MWC and Big East, respectively, to the Big 12 in 2012.

Success, at least in terms of this article, will be defined as consistently being among the top teams of their Power Five league, being ranked in the top 25 on a regular basis and contending for a conference championship or major bowl — like the College Football Playoff or a New Year’s Six bowl — every few seasons.

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Utah and TCU are obvious points for comparison — they played alongside BYU in the 2000s in the MWC — while West Virginia provides a comparison of a program making a similar jump to the same league the Cougars are joining.

Jeffrey D. Allred, Deseret News
Utah Utes defensive back Jaylon Johnson (1) breaks up a pass intended for Washington Huskies wide receiver Aaron Fuller (2) in Seattle on Saturday, Nov. 2, 2019.A look at the Utah Utes’ Pac-12 success rate

In the past 10 full seasons since joining the Pac-12 in 2011:

Record: 76-46

Conference record: 45-41, six winning conference records

Conference titles: 0 (two appearances in the Pac-12 championship game in 2018 and 2019)

Bowl record: 5-2

Double-digit win seasons: 2 (10-3, 2015; 11-3, 2019)

Losing seasons: 2 (5-7, 2012; 5-7, 2013)

Years ranked in final Associated Press poll: 4 (No. 21, 2014; No. 17, 2015; No. 23, 2016; No. 16, 2019)

Other highlights: The Utes have been ranked as high as the top five in the Associated Press in two different seasons, reaching No. 3 in the 2015 season and No. 5 in the 2019 season. Utah has also been ranked in the final College Football Playoff rankings of the year in five seasons — No. 22 in 2014, No. 22 in 2015, No. 19 …read more

Source:: Deseret News – Sports News


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